Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 3.531847 4.230350 5.010699 5.944144 7.027230 8.241141 9.701312
2025-05-25 2.416953 3.272164 4.330459 5.724396 7.498649 9.666883 12.500532
2025-06-01 1.820330 2.734926 3.967911 5.725059 8.133218 11.281836 15.666612
2025-06-08 1.436577 2.365498 3.714468 5.770219 8.766906 12.908182 18.978745
2025-06-15 1.148123 2.056302 3.467066 5.749231 9.260608 14.350615 22.144789
2025-06-22 0.881920 1.715720 3.098640 5.467240 9.301894 15.112933 24.375370
2025-06-29 0.724589 1.519252 2.916862 5.434265 9.694261 16.400917 27.461827
2025-07-06 0.600611 1.353220 2.752720 5.395379 10.054361 17.649934 30.570711
2025-07-13 0.549375 1.315025 2.806451 5.734315 11.071248 20.020828 35.626893
2025-07-20 0.487131 1.240018 2.776792 5.912771 11.820308 22.003675 40.193919
2025-07-27 0.445287 1.199520 2.806124 6.201190 12.787817 24.423005 45.652563
2025-08-03 0.383447 1.099203 2.696293 6.200739 13.216593 25.935503 49.667182
2025-08-10 0.312258 0.960901 2.486092 5.976372 13.210727 26.703745 52.500309
2025-08-17 0.249768 0.827805 2.262701 5.690473 13.049287 27.171296 54.833406
2025-08-24 0.213737 0.756317 2.168450 5.669208 13.413690 28.639278 59.078789
2025-08-31 0.186226 0.701669 2.104800 5.706513 13.900236 30.373108 63.931202
2025-09-07 0.160061 0.643403 2.020844 5.683208 14.251523 31.864819 68.420009
2025-09-14 0.128166 0.556011 1.842155 5.403258 14.005427 32.139836 70.574521
2025-09-21 0.110056 0.509828 1.767421 5.370347 14.308896 33.550226 75.042149
2025-09-28 0.094459 0.467421 1.694895 5.331771 14.592938 34.937365 79.547321
2025-10-05 0.090822 0.470488 1.759462 5.667170 15.795447 38.351186 88.368232
2025-10-12 0.083364 0.455602 1.765714 5.843778 16.629596 41.027077 95.822174
2025-10-19 0.078959 0.452406 1.808872 6.129239 17.757415 44.415450 104.945559